Why is H-1B Use Skyrocketing among Bay Area Tech Giants?

On August 13, 2018, the San Jose Mercury published a story titled H-1B use skyrocketed among Bay Area tech giants. The story begins:

Even as the White House began cracking down on U.S. work visas, major Silicon Valley technology firms last year dramatically ramped up hiring of workers under the controversial H-1B visa program, according to newly released data. The data show the importance of H-1B workers to the tech industry, which has long lobbied to increase the number of highly skilled foreign workers. Menlo Park-based Facebook in 2017 received 720 H-1B approvals, a 53 percent increase over 2016, according to the National Foundation for American Policy, which obtained federal government data. Mountain View's Google received 1,213 H-1B approvals, a 31 percent increase. The number of H-1B approvals at Intel in Santa Clara rose 19 percent and Cupertino-based Apple received 673, a 7 percent increase.

The NFAP (National Foundation of American Policy) has posted a study which contains this data at this link. As it happens, the USCIS (U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services) has posted similar data at this link. The following table contains data from both of these sources:

                     NFAP: 2015-17  % Change      USCIS: 2015-17  % Change
                ----------------- ----------- ----------------- -----------
Company          2015  2016  2017 16-17 15-17  2015  2016  2017 16-17 15-17
--------------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Amazon           ....  1416  2515   78%   ...  1858  2739  4767   74%  157%
Microsoft        ....  1145  1479   29%   ...  2523  3556  4069   14%   61%
Intel            ....  1030  1230   19%   ...  1358  1873  2625   40%   93% 
Google           ....   924  1213   31%   ...  2023  2517  2758   10%   36%
Facebook         ....   472   720   53%   ...   894  1107  1566   41%   75%
Apple            ....   631   673    7%   ...  1586  1992  2055    3%   30%

As can be seen, the USCIS data shows much higher approval numbers than the NFAP study. The reason for this difference may be due to the following reason given on page 10 of the NFAP study:

The USCIS data on initial employment for FY 2017 show that it can be misleading to rely on alternative H-1B statistics absent the proper context. For example, as noted, Cognizant had 3,194 new H-1B petitions for initial employment approved in FY 2017. However, because of extensions for existing H-1B employees and, in particular, a USCIS policy change in 2015 (Matter of Simeio Solutions) that requires companies to file amended petitions when work will take place in a new metropolitan statistical area (MSA), a recent USCIS report lists Cognizant with 28,908 approved petitions in FY 2017. Those 28,908 approved petitions - 9 times the number of new H-1B professionals approved for the company in FY 2017 - do not represent 28,908 new workers but reflect compliance with government rules when existing workers are moved to new locations. (13)

Following is footnote 13 which the prior excerpt references:

13. The 29,908 figure is contained in a USCIS report on its website on Approved H-1B Petitions by Employer, FY 2017. Unlike the data contained in this NFAP report that focus on initial petitions, the USCIS report contains a combination of initial petitions, amended petitions and extensions.

Table 6 on page 9 of the NFAP study gives similar data for Indian-based companies. Below is the data from that table, along with the same data from USCIS. The section in which this table occurs is titled "Indian-Based Company H-1B Numbers Continue to Fall" and the data shows the numbers falling for all but two companies from 2016 to 2017 and all but one company from 2015 to 2017.

                     NFAP: 2015-17  % Change      USCIS: 2015-17  % Change
                ----------------- ----------- ----------------- -----------
Company          2015  2016  2017 16-17 15-17  2015  2016  2017 16-17 15-17
--------------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
TCS              4674  2040  2312  +13%  -51%  7936 11295 14697   30%   85%
Infosys          2830  2376  1218  -49%  -57%  7989 12780 13408    5%   68%
Wipro            3079  1474  1210  -18%  -61%  5968  6819  6529   -4%    9%
HCL America      1339  1041   866  -17%  -35%  2548  3492  4392   26%   72%
Larsen & Toubro   830   870   479  -45%  -42%  1277  1558  1864   20%   46%
Tech Mahindra    1576  1228  2233  +82%  +42%  2553  3344  4931   47%   93%
Mindtree          464   327   150  -54%  -68%   751  1103   967  -12%   29%
As can be seen, there is again a large difference in the numbers between NFAP and USCIS. As before, this could be due to the inclusion of petition extensions and amendments as stated in the NFAP study. Still, it seems very strange that all of the USCIS numbers show an increase from 2015 to 2017 and all but 2 show double-digit increases from 2016 to 2017 rather than the double digit declines seen in all but 2 in the NFAP data. The USCIS policy change in 2015 could be a factor for the 2015 to 2017 change but it would not seem likely to have so large an effect from 2016 to 2017.

In fact, this would seem to show a problem with many studies that use data that is obtained via a FOIA (Freedom of Information Act) request. It seems that such data is often provided only to the requester and is not made public. The data does not appear to be available on the NFAP website though I plan to check with them to verify that the data was obtained via an FOIA request and see if they will release it. In any event, the non-public status of much FOIA data means that studies based on such data cannot be verified and arguably should not be used to set any public policy. Unless it is publicly released, it would seem that the analysis of such data can only be used by the requester.

One other point that this brings up is that the approval numbers in the USCIS data that has been made public at this link in the section titled "H-1B Datasets" is of little use. If approvals include every extension and amendment, it would seem that the number of approvals is not of much use except perhaps to estimate the workload required to process them.

Still, these USCIS files do give information about salary and the degrees of the H-1B workers in the petitions. If you go to the R/Shiny app at this link and set "Minimum Approved" to 300, you'll get the 89 employers for whom 300 or more H-1B petitions were approved in 2017. If you then change "Sort by" from "Approved" to "Advanced", it will sort them by the percentage of the petitions that are for advanced degrees (Master's or higher). Following are the lines for the 13 companies listed above:

N    X TaxID                       Employer Approved Salary  Advanced
-- --- ----- ------------------------------ -------- ------ ---------
2  234  8068        AMAZON WEB SERVICES INC      402 112338 100.00000
12  75  2743              INTEL CORPORATION     2625 104691  91.83206
21  70  3581                     GOOGLE INC     2758 134419  73.32849
24  41  6545           AMAZON CORPORATE LLC     4767 118637  71.60546
27  95  5019                   FACEBOOK INC     1566 144812  70.24266
31  83  4110                      APPLE INC     2055 142974  66.92721
44  51  4442          MICROSOFT CORPORATION     4069 130259  58.57319
56  19  4401                  WIPRO LIMITED     6529  75082  39.08381
57  46  5035                HCL AMERICA INC     4392  87978  38.02143
62  33  2696     TECH MAHINDRA AMERICAS INC     4931  78443  35.54156
70 129  5091               MINDTREE LIMITED      967  75677  28.74871
74  13   235                    INFOSYS LTD    13408  85717  24.33400
78   5  9806      TATA CONSULTANCY SVCS LTD    14697  73505  19.89924
79  89  4303 LARSEN & TOUBRO INFOTECH LIMIT     1864  78737  18.24034
As can be seen, the 6 high tech companies (there are two entries for Amazon) had petitions where 58 percent or more were for advanced degrees. The 7 Indian-based companies, on the other hand, all had petitions for which 39 percent or less were for advanced degrees. That would mean that 61 percent or more are for workers with bachelor's degrees or less. It would seem difficult to view these workers as having special skills that cannot be filled by U.S. workers.

Also visible is the fact that the 6 high tech companies all have petitions with average salaries above $104,000 whereas the Indian-base companies all have petitions for workers with average salaries below $88,000. Hence, unless there is a demonstrable shortage of workers with bachelor's degrees, it would seem many of many of those workers may be getting requested because of their lower pay.

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